January 19, 2014

 

VITA AND BIBLIOGRAPHY OF JOHN MUELLER

 

Ralph D. Mershon Senior Research Scientist (and Woody Hayes Chair of National  Security Studies Emeritus),

Mershon Center for International Security Studies
and Adjunct Professor, Department of Political Science
Ohio State University

 

        Cato Senior Fellow

Cato Institute, Washington, DC

 

Mershon Center
1501 Neil Avenue
Columbus, OH 43201-2602 USA
614-247-6007
614-292-2407 (fax)
bbbb@osu.edu

 

INTERNAL LINKS

 

BOOKS AND MONOGRAPHS

PUBLICATIONS IN POLITICAL SCIENCE: ARTICLES, SELECTED PAPERS

GRANTS, FELLOWSHIPS, AND HONORS IN POLITICAL SCIENCE

SHORTER ARTICLES AND OPINION PIECES

OTHER RELATED ACTIVITIES IN POLITICAL SCIENCE

AWARDS, HONORS IN DANCE AND FILM

DVDS PRODUCED

FILMS PRODUCED AND DIRECTED

SCRIPTS FOR MUSICAL COMEDIES

PUBLICATIONS IN DANCE, FILM, AND MUSICAL THEATER: ARTICLES

GRANTS FROM THE NATIONAL ENDOWMENT FOR THE HUMANITIES

OTHER RELATED ACTIVITIES IN DANCE AND FILM

BOOK REVIEWS

ENCYCLOPEDIA ARTICLES

 

EXTERNAL LINKS

 

Biography html

Courses html
Dance Film Archive html

Terror Predictions, May 2012 pdf

Trends in public opinion on terrorism, Summer 2012 pdf

Profile in U.S. News & World Report, May 22, 1989 html

 

PERSONAL INFORMATION

Citizenship: USA
Born: St. Paul, Minnesota
Marital Status: Married, three children 

 

EDUCATION

A.B., 1960     University of Chicago
M.A., 1963    UCLA, Political Science
Ph.D., 1965    UCLA, Political Science
USPHS Fellow, 1962-1965 

 

M.A. THESIS

The Politics of Fluoridation in Seven California Cities 

 

Ph.D. DISSERTATION

Reason and Caprice: Ballot Patterns in California

 

TEACHING EXPERIENCE

Foreign and defense policy, international relations, dance as an art form, public opinion, the war in Vietnam, dance history and film, choreography of Fred Astaire, perspectives on war and peace, change in post-Communist countries, terrorism

 

PROFESSIONAL HISTORY

1965-69 Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Rochester
1969-72 Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Rochester
1972-2000 Professor of Political Science, University of Rochester
1983-2000 Professor of Film Studies, University of Rochester

February-June 1994 Visiting Professor, Institute of International Relations, Comenius University, Bratislava, Slovakia

January 1997 Distinguished Visiting Professor, University of Alberta

February-March 1997 Guest Scholar, Brookings Institution, Washington, DC

April-May 1997 Visiting Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University

2000-2011 Woody Hayes Chair of National Security Studies, Mershon Center for International Security Studies, and Professor of Political Science, Ohio State University

2000-  Courtesy faculty appointment, Department of Dance, Ohio State University

February-June 2001 Senior Guest Researcher, Norwegian Nobel Institute, Oslo, Norway

2011-  Ralph D. Mershon Senior Research Scientist, Mershon Center for International Security Studies, and Adjunct Professor, Department of Political Science, Ohio State University

2011- Cato Senior Fellow, Cato Institute, Washington, DC

 

 

BOOKS AND MONOGRAPHS

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), Terror, Security, and Money: Balancing the Risks, Benefits, and Costs of Homeland Security (New York and London: Oxford University Press, 2011) information and website about this book

 

(ed.) Terrorism Since 9/11: The American Cases (Columbus, OH: Mershon Center, Ohio State University, 2011, 2012, 2013) information about this book

 

War and Ideas: Selected Essays (New York and London: Routledge, 2011) information and website about this book


Atomic Obsession: Nuclear Alarmism from Hiroshima to Al-Qaeda (New York: Oxford University Press, 2010)  information and website about this book

 

Overblown: How Politicians and the Terrorism Industry Inflate National Security Threats, and Why We Believe Them (New York: Free Press, 2006) information and website about this book

 

The Remnants of War (Ithaca,  NY:  Cornell University Press, 2004; paperback edition with a new preface, 2007). (Chinese translation, 2011) Received the Joseph Lepgold Prize for the best book on international relations in 2004, awarded by Georgetown University. publisher’s information

 

(ed.) Peace,  Prosperity,  and  Politics (New York: Westview, 2000) 

 

Capitalism, Democracy, and Ralph’s Pretty Good Grocery  (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1999) (Ukrainian translation, 2003; Russian translation by Olimp-Biznes, Moscow, 2006) publisher’s information

 

(ed. with Randall L. Calvert and Rick K. Wilson) William H. Riker, The Strategy of Rhetoric: Campaigning for the American Constitution (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1996)

 

Quiet Cataclysm: Reflections on the Recent Transformation of World Politics (New York: HarperCollins, 1995) available in 2009 reprint

 

Policy and Opinion in the Gulf War (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1994) 

 

(ed. with Richard G. Niemi and Tom W. Smith) Trends in Public Opinion: A Compendium of Survey Data (Westport, CT: Greenwood, 1989)

 

Retreat from Doomsday: The Obsolescence of Major War (New York: Basic Books, 1989) available in updated 2009 reprint

 

Astaire Dancing: The Musical Films (New York: Knopf, 1985).  Received the de la Torre Bueno Prize, presented by Dance Perspectives Foundation, for “the most distinguished book-length manuscript in the field of dance,” 1983, improved and expanded reprint edition, 2010 information about the 2010 reprint

 

Dance Film Directory: An Annotated and Evaluative Guide to Films on Ballet and Modern Dance (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton Book Co., 1979)

 

Films on Ballet and Modern Dance: Notes and a Directory (New York: American Dance Guild, 1974) (includes extensive analysis of Humphrey’s “Passacaglia” and Graham’s “Night Journey”)

 

War, Presidents and Public Opinion (New York: Wiley, 1973).  Selected as one of the “Fifty Books That Significantly Shaped Public Opinion Research, 1946-1995” by the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Public Opinion Quarterly, Fall 1995. Recipient of the first Warren J. Mitofsky Award for Excellence in Public Opinion Research presented by the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research, November 8, 2007. Awarded the Philip E. Converse Book Award of the American Political Science Association, August 30, 2013.  available in 2009 reprint

 

(ed.) Approaches to Measurement in International Relations: A Non-Evangelical Survey (New York: Appleton-Century-Crofts, 1969)

 

Canada as a Non-Nuclear Power (Los Angeles: University of California, National Security Studies Program, 1963) pdf

 


PUBLICATIONS IN POLITICAL SCIENCE: ARTICLES, SELECTED PAPERS

 

“Did History End? Democracy, Capitalism, Nationalism, Religion, War, and Boredom Since 1989,” Political Science Quarterly, forthcoming, Spring 2014

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Secret without Reason and Costly without Accomplishment: Questioning the National Security Agency’s Metadata Program,” I/S: A Journal of Law and Policy for the Information Society, forthcoming draft in pdf

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Evaluating Counterterrorism Spending,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, forthcoming

 

(with Christopher Preble), editor for Dangerous World? Threat Perception and U.S. National Security (Washington, DC: Cato Institute) forthcoming

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Terrorism and Counterterrorism in the US: The Question of Responsible Policy-Making,” in “Legal Perspectives on Contingencies and Resilience in an Environment of Constitutionalism,” a special edition of International Journal of Human Rights, Clive Walker, guest editor, forthcoming

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Terrorism, Personal Security, and Responsible Policy Making,” in Patrick J. Carroll, Robert M. Arkin, and Aaron Wichman (eds.), The Handbook of Personal Security, forthcoming

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “The Curse of the Black Swan,” Journal of Risk Research, forthcoming

 

Review of Eric Schlosser, Command and Control, Times Literary Supplement, forthcoming

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Cost-benefit analysis of airport security: Are airports too safe?” 35 Journal of Air Transport Management 19-28 (2014) pdf

 

“At Issue: Does use of chemical weapons warrant military intervention?” Chemical and Biological Weapons: Can they be eliminated or controlled? CQ Researcher, December 13, 2013, 1069 pdf

 

“Free Radicals (With Return Tickets): Boston, Nairobi, and the Future of Terrorism,” Plenary Session Essay for International Security Forum, Halifax, Nova Scotia, November 22-24, 2013

 

“Targeting needles, or adding more hay? The NSA has institutionalized alarmist thinking and is remarkably resistant to counter-information,” Indian Express, November 13, 2013

pdf

 

“Syria: It Wasn’t Isolationism,” nationalinterest.org, October 14, 2013 pdf

 

(with Mark Stewart), Cost-Benefit Analysis of Australian Federal Police Counter-Terrorism Operations at Australian Airports, Working Paper, Centre of Excellence in Policing and Security, Australian Research Council, October 2013

 

“America Is Spending Too Much on Defense: To bring budgets into line, we need to move past irrational threats,” slate.com, October 3, 2013 pdf

 

“Caution: Syria Ahead: Why the US is unlikely to rush into Syria with guns blazing,” Indian Express, August 31, 2013 pdf  html

 

“Are Terror Warnings Pointless? How overreacting to al-Qaida ‘chatter’ harms America,” slate.com, August 7, 2013 html 

 

(with Jim Harper and Mark Stewart), Comments on Notice of Proposed Rulemaking: Passenger Screening Using Advanced Imaging Technology, TSA-2013-0004 (RIN 1652-AA67), June 21, 2013 pdf

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “The curse of the black swan,” paper presented at the International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability (ICOSSAR), Columbia University, New York, June 18, 2013

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Risk aversion and decision-making for homeland security infrastructure protection,” paper presented at the International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability (ICOSSAR), Columbia University, New York, June 17, 2013

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “3 Questions about NSA Surveillance,” Chronicle of Higher Education, chronicle.com/blogs/conversation, June 13, 2013 html  pdf

 

“Obama’s Boundless War,” nationalinterest.org, May 29, 2013 html pdf

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Aviation Security, Risk Assessment, and Risk Aversion for Public Decisionmaking,” 32 Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 615–633, 2013 pdf

 

(with Mark G. Stewart and Benjamin H. Friedman), “Finally Talking Terror Sensibly,” nationalinterest.org, May 24, 2013 html pdf

 

“Erase the Red Line: Why We Shouldn’t Care About Syria’s Chemical Weapons,” foreignaffairs.com, April 30, 2013  html  pdf

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Hapless, Disorganized, and Irrational: What the Boston bombers had in common with most would-be terrorists,” slate.com, April 22, 2013  html   pdf

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Terrorism Risks and Cost-Benefit Analysis of Aviation Security,” 33 Risk Analysis 893-908 (2013)  pdf

 

 “War, Democracy, and Peace” in Geir Lundestad (ed.), International Relations Since the End of the Cold War: Old & New Dimensions (Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press, 2013), 63-79

 

Is International Terrorism a Significant Challenge to National Security?” in Peter M. Haas and John A. Hird, editors, Controversies in Globalization: Contending Approaches to International Relations (Congressional Quarterly Press, 2nd edition, 2013), 149-56. Essay for 1st edition revised and rewritten

 

“Did History End? Democracy, Capitalism, Nationalism, Religion, War, and Boredom Since 1989,” paper presented at the conference “Nationalism and Conflict: Interdisciplinary Methodological Approaches” at the Institute of Philosophy and Sociology, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland, December 10-12, 2012 pdf of summary as published in Studia Universitatis Babeş-Bolyai Sociologia, LVIII, 1, June 2013

 

“History and Nuclear Rationality,” nationalinterest.org, November 19, 2012 html  

 

“Terrorism in the United States Since 9/11: The Irrelevance of Crime, Globalization, Society, Social Cohesion, and Regional Integration,” paper presented at the International Conference of the Consortium for Comparative Research on Regional Integration and Social Cohesion (RISC) “Globalization, Violence, and Society: Local Impacts of the Regional Integration,” Mexico City, October 31, 2012

 

“Confusion: What if we can't catch terrorists in America because there aren't any?” foreignpolicy.com, October 8, 2012 html

 

“Eleven Years After 9/11, Terror Effects Persist,” cato-at-liberty.org, September 10, 2012  html

 

Never have so few been able to frighten so many,” Philadelphia Inquirer, September 9, 2012  html

 

(with Mark Stewart), “Is the war on terror worth the huge cost?” Newcastle Herald, September 7, 2012 html

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Commentary: Putting Al Qaeda in Perspective: The US sheds blood and treasure on a threat no more risky than taking a bath,” globalpost.com, August 4, 2012 html

 

(with Mark Stewart) “Serial Innumeracy on Homeland Security,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, July 24, 2012 html Also posted at Cato@liberty blog  html

 

“War, Crime, and Terrorism: Some Distinctions and Implications,” in Mary Ellen O’Connell (ed.), What Is War? An Investigation in the Wake of 9/11 (Martinus Nijhof, 2012), 141-63

 

“WMD Terrorism: The Prospects,” in Richard Jackson and Samuel Justin Sinclair (eds.), Contemporary Debates on Terrorism (London and New York: Routledge, 2012), 84-89.

(with Mark G. Stewart), “The Terrorism Delusion: America's Overwrought Response to September 11,” 37 International Security 81-110 (Summer 2012) pdf

“Why al Qaeda May Never Die,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, May 1, 2012 html also at Cato@liberty html

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Terrorism and Counterterrorism Since 9/11,” Paper presented at the National Convention of the International Studies Association, San Diego, CA, April 3, 2012 pdf

 

“‘At All Costs:’ The Destructive Consequences of Anti-proliferation Policy,” Paper presented at the National Convention of the International Studies Association, San Diego, CA, April 3, 2012 pdf

 

 “Arms Reduction: Just Do It,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, March 29, 2012 html  also posted at Cato@liberty

 

(with Mark G. Stewart, Michael Netherton, Yufeng Shi, and Matthew Grant), “Probabilistic Terrorism Risk and Risk Acceptability for Infrastructure Protection,” 13 Australian Journal of Structural Engineering 1-15 (2012) pdf    

 

“Capitalism, Peace, and the Historical Movement of Ideas,” Cato Policy Report, March/April 2012, 1, 6-8

 

“Two Neglected Issues in the ‘Bomb Iran’ Debate,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, February 21, 2012 html

 

“Iran: false nuclear fears cloud the west's judgment: A rational approach to preventing nuclear proliferation could avoid thousands of unnecessary deaths,” Guardian, February 17, 2010. Posted on guardian.co.uk on February 16, 2012. Also published in the Sydney Morning News html

 

(with Mark G. Stewart) “Civil Liberties, Fear, and Terrorism,” Notre Dame Journal of International & Comparative Law, 2012 pdf

 

“Embracing Threatlessness,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, January 31, 2012 html

 

Terror Tipsters,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, January 24, 2012 html  Also posted as “A Scary Thought: Do We Really Need ‘If You See Something, Say Something’?” Cato@liberty blog, January 24, 2012 html

 

New Year Brings Good News on Terrorism: Experts Wrong Again,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, January 4, 2012 html

 

“Terrorism Is Not an Apocalyptic Threat,” Breakthrough Journal, No. 2, Fall 2011

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), Cost-Benefit Analysis of Aviation Security: Installed Physical Secondary Barriers (IPSB), Federal Air Marshal Service (FAMS), and Federal Flight Deck Officer (FFDO) Program. Research Report No. 281.12.2011, Centre for Infrastructure Performance and Reliability, University of Newcastle, Newcastle, Australia, December 2011 html to pdf

 

Newt Gingrich and the EMP Threat,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, December 13, 2011. Also posted on cato@liberty blog html

 

“Will Obama’s Libya ‘Victory’ Aid Re-Election Bid?” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, December 1, 2011 html Also posted on cato@liberty blog

 

“Embracing Threatlessness: Reassessing U.S. Military Spending,” in Michael Gerson and Alison Lawler Russell (eds.), American Grand Strategy and Seapower, Conference Report, Center for Naval Analysis, Washington, DC, November 2011, 47-59 pdf

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Dueling Delusions: Terrorism and Counterterrorism in the United States Since 9/11,” paper delivered at the Program on International Security Policy, University of Chicago, November 15, 2011 pdf

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Cost-Benefit Analysis of Advanced Imaging Technology Full Body Scanners for Airline Passenger Security Screening,” Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 2011, 8(1): Article 30  html and pdf

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), “Assessing the Risks, Costs, and Benefits of Counter-Terrorism Protective Measures for Infrastructure,” CIP Report, Vol. 10, No. 5, November 2011, 3-5, 31  pdf

       

(with Mark G. Stewart), “The Price is Not Right: The U.S. spends too much money to fight terrorism,” Playboy, October 2011, 149-50 pdf

 

“Dick Cheney and the Never-ending, Extravagant al-Qaeda Alarmism,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, September 20, 2011 html Also posted on cato@liberty blog


(with Mark G. Stewart), three essays on Slate.com:  “Does the United States Spend Too Much on Homeland Security? The government refuses to subject homeland security to a cost-benefit analysis,” September 7, 2011, “Probability Neglect: Why the government massively overestimates the risks of terrorism,” September 8, 2011, “1,667 Times Square-Style Attacks Every Year: That’s how many terrorism plots we would have to foil to justify our current spending on homeland security,” September 9, 2011 html

 

(with Mark G. Stewart) “Witches, Communists, and Terrorists: Evaluating the Risks and Tallying the Costs,” ABA Human Rights Magazine, Vol. 38, No. 1, Winter 2011, 18-20 pdf

 

“U.S. Intervention from Kosovo to Libya: 9/11 and the Iraq Syndrome,” cpost.uchicago.edu blog article, September 8, 2011

 

(with Mark G. Stewart and Bruce R. Ellingwood) “Homeland Security: A Case Study in Risk Aversion for Public Decision-Making,” International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, Vol. 15, nos. 5/6, 2011 pdf


(with Mark G. Stewart) “At Issue: Does Al Qaeda still pose a serious threat to the U.S.? No,” CQ Researcher, September 2, 2011, 723 pdf

 

(with Mark Stewart) “Terrorism cash could save lives elsewhere,” Newcastle Herald, August 26, 2011 pdf


(with Mark G. Stewart) “Balancing the Risks, Costs, and Benefits of Homeland Security,” Homeland Security Affairs, August 2011 pdf

 

“The Truth About al Qaeda: Bin Laden’s Files Revealed the Terrorists in Dramatic Decline,” foreignaffairs.com, August 2, 2011 html

 

(with Mark Stewart), “Money Can’t Buy Zero Risk,” Australian Financial Review, May 20, 2011, 3. pdf Also published in slightly revised form as “Ten years and $1 trillion later, what has all our security spending achieved?” Nieman Watchdog, Ask This, June 2, 2011

 

“‘Clocking’ Nuclear Weapons,” ISN Insights, May 30, 2011

 

“The Iraq Syndrome Revisited: U.S. Intervention, From Kosovo to Libya,” foreignaffairs.com, March 28, 2011


“‘Iraq Syndrome’ and fear of Libya war,” cnn.com, March 12, 2011

 

“Room for Debate: Should the U.S. Move Against Qaddafi? What We Should Know by Now,” nytimes.com, March 2, 2011 

 

(with Mark G. Stewart), "Terror, Security, and Money: Balancing the Risks, Costs, and Benefits of Homeland Security," paper presented at the Annual Convention of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois, April 1, 2011 pdf    Published in slightly revised form in August 2011 in Homeland Security Affairs (see above)

 

Bombendämmerung,” review of Richard Rhodes, The Twilight of the Bombs: Recent Challenges, New Dangers, and the Prospects for a World Without Nuclear Weapons. Physics World, February 2011 pdf

 

“Questing for Monsters to Destroy,” in Melvyn Leffler and Jeffrey W. Legro (eds.), In Uncertain Times: American Foreign Policy after the Berlin Wall and 9/11 (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2011), 117-30


“Public Opinion, the Media, and War,” in Robert Y. Shapiro and Lawrence R. Jacobs (eds.), Oxford Handbook on American Public Opinion and the Media (Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press, 2011), 675-89


“The Atomic Terrorist?” in Olav Njølstad (ed.), Peace, Stability, and Nuclear Order: Theoretical assumptions, historical experiences, future challenges (London and New York: Routledge, 2011), 127-48

 

“Action and Reaction: Assessing the Historic Impact of Terrorism,” in Jean E. Rosenfeld (ed.), Terrorism, Identity, and Legitimacy: The Four Waves theory and political violence (New York and London: Routledge, 2011), 112-22 pdf

 

“Reacting to Terrorism: Probabilities, Consequences, and the Persistence of Fear,” in Rafael Reuveny and William R. Thompson (eds.), Coping with Contemporary Terrorism: Origins, Escalation, Counterstrategies, and Responses (Albany, NY: State University of New York Press, 2010), 369-83

 

“Capitalism, Peace, and the Historical Movement of Ideas,” 36 International Interactions 169-84, March 2010 pdf
 

“The Atomic Terrorist?” in Benjamin Friedman, ed., Terrorizing Ourselves: Why U.S. Counterterrorism Policy Is Failing and How To Fix It (Washington, DC: Cato Institute, 2010), 139-60

 

“Assessing Measures Designed to Protect the Homeland,” in Benjamin Friedman, ed., Terrorizing Ourselves: Why U.S. Counterterrorism Policy Is Failing and How To Fix It (Washington, DC: Cato Institute, 2010), 99-119

 

“Faulty Correlation, Foolish Consistency, and Fatal Consequence: Democracy, Peace, and Theory in the Middle East,” in Steven W. Hook (ed.), Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice (Kent, OH: Kent State University Press, 2010), 45-60 

 

(with Mark G. Stewart) “Hardly Existential: Thinking Rationally About Terrorism,” foreignaffairs.com April 2, 2010 pdf

Review of Francis J. Gavin, “Same As It Ever Was: Nuclear Alarmism, Proliferation, and the Cold War,” H-Diplo, March 18, 2010 pdf

 

“Assessing Measures Designed to Protect the Homeland” and “Response,” 38 Policy Studies Journal 1-21, 41-46, February 2010 pdf

 

“Think Again: Nuclear Weapons: President Obama’s pledge to rid the world of atomic bombs is a waste of breath. But not for the reasons you might imagine,” Foreign Policy, January-February 2010, 38-44 html


“Exaggerating the alarm over a nuclear attack,” washingtonpost.com, January 21, 2010  html

 

“Atomic Overreaction: The dangerously obsessive sway of worst-case fantasies about Iran,” The Chronicle Review, Chronicle of Higher Education, January 10, 2010  html

 

“Calming Our Nuclear Jitters: An exaggerated fear of nuclear weapons has led to many wrongheaded policy decisions. A more sober assessment is needed,” Issues in Science and Technology, Winter 2010, 58‑66 pdf

 

“The threat of terrorism is overblown and more manageable than suspected,” in Stuart Gottlieb, ed., Debating Terrorism and Counterterrorism: Conflicting Perspectives on Causes, Contexts, and Responses (Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly Press, 2010), 372‑82

 

“Is International Terrorism a Significant Challenge to National Security?” in Peter M. Haas, John A. Hird, and Beth McBratney (eds.), Controversies in Globalization: Contending Approaches to International Relations (Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly Press, 2010), 139-147

“The Atomic Terrorist?” Nuclear Proliferation Update, Cato Institute, January 2010 pdf

 

“Nuclear Bunkum: Don’t panic: bin Laden’s WMD are mythical, too,” American Conservative, January 2010, 20‑21 html


“The ‘Safe Haven’ Myth,” Nation, November 9, 2009 html

 

“Mueller on the Zazi case: This is It?” Informed Comment, www.juancole.com, November 4, 2009  html Comments on this piece by Bruce Schneier, November 9, 2009 html

“The Rise of Nuclear Alarmism: How we learned to start worrying and fear the bomb—and why we don’t have to,” www.foreignpolicy.com, October 23, 2009. html

 

“War Has Almost Ceased to Exist: An Assessment,” 124 Political Science Quarterly 297-321 (Summer 2009) pdf

 

(with Karl Mueller) “The Rocket’s Red Glare: Just what are ‘weapons of mass destruction, anyway?’ www.foreignpolicy.com, 7 July 2009 html

 

“Abolition? Why?” No Nukes: Possibility or Pipe Dream? Room for Debate, nytimes.com, June 7, 2009 html

 

“The Atomic Terrorist?” Research Paper for the International Commission on Nuclear Non‑Proliferation and Disarmament, 30 April 2009 pdf

 

“Obama’s Report Card,” foreignpolicy.com, April 2009

 

“How Dangerous are the Taliban? Why Afghanistan is the Wrong War,” foreignaffairs.com, April 15, 2009 html

 

“Mission nonexistent? Examining NATO’s goals in Afghanistan,” IA Forum, Spring 2009, 51‑53

 

“Establishing Principles for Evaluating Measures Designed to Protect the Homeland from Terrorism.”  Paper presented at the National Convention of the International Studies Association, New York, NY, February 16, 2009  pdf

 

“Will Obama reassess the threat posed by al Qaeda?” Ask This, Nieman Watchdog, www.niemanwatchdog.org, February 2, 2009 

 

“Fearing Fear,” www.cato‑unbound.org, January 9, 2009 html


“The Long-Term Political and Economic Consequences of 9/11,” in Matthew H. Morgan (ed.), The Impact of 9/11: The Day that Changed Everything? (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2009), 7-15

 

“Inflating Terrorism,” in Jane K. Cramer and A. Trevor Thrall (eds.), Threat Inflation: The Theory, Politics, and Psychology of Fear Mongering in the United States (London and New York: Routledge, 2009), 192-209

 

(with Ian S. Lustick) “Israel’s Fight-or-Flight Response,” National Interest, Nov./Dec. 2008, 68-71 html pdf

“The Iraq War and the Management of American Public Opinion,” in James Pfiffner and Mark Phythian (eds.), Intelligence and National Security Policy Making in Iraq: British and American Perspectives (Manchester, UK: Manchester University Press, 2008), 126-48

"The Costs and Consequences of Efforts to Prevent Proliferation." Paper delivered at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston, MA, August 2008 pdf

"Evaluating the Terrorist Threat," Los Angeles Times Syndicate/Tribune Media, May 19, 2008  pdf  Published in Spanish as "EE UU exagera la amenaza de Al Qaeda" in El País (Spain), 2 June 2008 html


Terrorphobia: Our False Sense of Insecurity,” American Interest, May/June 2008, 6-13 html

(with Mark G. Stewart) “A Risk and Cost-Benefit Assessment of Australian Aviation Security Measures,” 4 Security Challenges 45-61 (Spring 2008) pdf

(with Mark G. Stewart) “A risk and cost-benefit assessment of United States aviation security measures,” 1 Journal of Transportation Security 143-59 (2008) pdf

“Security, Muscularity and Morality: Three Comments on Etzioni,” 51 American Behavioral Scientist 1339-50, May 2008

“Band of Brigands: The Criminality of Modern Warfare,” Lapham’s Quarterly, Winter 2008, 193-98

“Extrapolations from a Book about Nothing,” in Helen Fehervary and Bernd Fischer (eds.), Cultural Poltics and the Politics of Culture: Essays to Honor Alexander Stephan (Bern: Peter Lang, 2007), 39-45

 

“Apocalypse Later,” National Interest, Nov./Dec. 2007, 19-20 

“Radioactive Hype,” National Interest, Sep./Oct. 2007, 59-65  pdf    pdf reformatted for easier reading

“The Terrorism Industry: The Profits of Doom,” in George Kassimeris (ed.), Playing Politics with Terrorism: A User’s Guide (London: Hurst, and New York: Columbia University Press, 2007), 301-20

 

“Fear Not: Notes from a naysayer,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 2007, 30-37  pdf

 

“What If We Leave? When nightmare scenarios are used to justify endless war, it’s time to wake up,” American Conservative, February 26, 2007 


“Vietnam and Iraq: Strategy, Exit, and Syndrome,” in John Dumbrell and David Ryan (eds.), Vietnam in Iraq: Tactics, lessons, legacies, and ghosts (London and New York: Routledge, 2007), 179-92


“Ask This: Ten questions about Homeland Security,” Nieman Watchdog, Nieman Foundation for Journalism, Harvard University, February, 16, 2007


Vers la fin de la guerre?”
Politique Étrangère 4:2006, 863-75

Outfront Q & A: Protecting Our Golf Courses,” Forbes, November 27, 2006, 54, as interviewed by Susan Adams

“Terror doesn’t add up,” essay on Guardian (UK) comment is free website, November 20, 2006 

 

“Residual Warfare: John Mueller on the future of terrorism,” Reason, October 2006, 32-34, as interviewed by Nick Gillespie

“Is There A Still a Terrorist Threat? The Myth of the Omnipresent Enemy,” Foreign Affairs, September/October 2006, 2-8. pdf  Roundtable followup discussion on “Is There A Still a Terrorist Threat?” with James Fallows, Jessica Stern, Fawaz Gerges, and Paul Pillar on foreignaffairs.com   Both the article and the roundtable are reprinted in Gideon Rose and Jonathan Tepperman (eds.), The U.S. vs. al Qaeda A History of the War on Terror (New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2011).

 

“Reflections on What, If Anything, ‘Are We Safer’ Might Mean,” September 2006. Lead essay and discussion (with Clark Kent Irwin, Veronique de Rugy, and Timothy Naftali) on Cato Unbound website

 

“Terrorism, Overreaction, and Globalization,” in Richard N. Rosecrance and Arthur A. Stein (eds.), No More States? Globalization, National Self‑Determination, and Terrorism (Boulder,  CO: Rowman & Littlefield, 2006), 47-74.

 

“Accounting for the Waning of Major War,” in Raimo Väyrynen (ed.), The Waning of Major War: Theories and Debates (London and New York: Routledge, 2006), 64-79.

 

“The Cost of War,” Foreign Affairs, January‑February 2006, dialog with Christopher Gelpi on public opinion pdf

 

“The Iraq Syndrome,” Foreign Affairs, November‑December 2005, 44‑54 figures for the article in powerpoint pdf of the article

 

“Force, Legitimacy, Success, and Iraq,” 31 Review of International Studies 109-25 (2005). Special issue also published as a book: David Armstrong, Theo Farrell, and Bice Maiguashca (eds.), Force and Legitimacy in World Politics (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2005)  pdf

 

“Six Rather Unusual Propositions about Terrorism,” 17 Terrorism and Political Violence 487‑505 (Autumn 2005) pdf

 

“Response,” 17 Terrorism and Political Violence 523‑528 (Autumn 2005). Reply to comments published in the journal about the “Six Propositions” article by Richard Betts, Daniel Byman, and Martha Crenshaw pdf 

 

“Ordering the New World,” in Michael Bothe, Mary Ellen O’Connell, and Natalino Ronzitti (eds.), Redefining Sovereignty: The Use of Force After the Cold War (Ardsley, NY: Transnational Publishers, 2005), 65‑88

 

“Ask this: Why not cool down the terrorism rhetoric a little?” Nieman Watchdog, Questions the Press Should Ask, September 23, 2005, published on the web at Nieman  Watchdog

 

“Simplicity and Spook: Terrorism and the Dynamics of Threat Exaggeration,” 6 International Studies Perspectives, 155-73 (May 2005)  pdf

 

“What Was the Cold War About? Evidence from Its Ending,” 119 Political Science Quarterly 609-31 (Winter 2004-05) 

 

“A False Sense of Insecurity?” Regulation, Fall 2004, 42-46  Also published in Florida Real Estate Journal, July 16-31, 2005

 

“Why Isn’t There More Violence?” 13 Security Studies 191-203 (Spring 2004)

 

“Attitudes Toward Democracy and Capitalism: A Western Benchmark,” in Janos Kornai and Susan Rose Ackerman (eds.), Building a Trustworthy State: Problems of Post Socialist Transition (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2004), 198-213 

 

“Policing the Remnants of War,” 40 Journal of Peace Research 507-18 (September 2003)  pdf

 

“Police Work or War? Public reactions to dates of infamy,” Public Perspective, March/April 2003, 31-34

 

“Blip or Step Function?” Paper delivered at the International Studies Association Meetings, Portland, Oregon, February 27, 2003 pdf Extended version of the National Interest article of Fall 2002

“Should We Invade Iraq?” A reason.com on-line debate with Brink Lindsey posted October 2002, as published in Reason, January 2003  html

“Harbinger or Aberration?” National Interest, Fall 2002, 45-50 pdf  Shorter, op-ed version published as “False Alarms,” Washington Post, September 29, 2002, p. B7  pdf

“Public Support for Military Ventures Abroad: Evidence from the Polls,” in Robert T. Turner (ed.), The Real Lessons of the Vietnam War: Reflections Twenty-Five Years After the Fall of Saigon (DurhamNC Carolina Academic Press, 2002), 173-219

 

“American Foreign Policy and Public Opinion in a New Era: Eleven Propositions,” in Barbara Norrander and Clyde Wilcox (eds.), Understanding Public Opinion, 2nd edition (Washington, DC: CQ Press, 2002), 149-72 

 

The Banality of ‘Ethnic War’: Yugoslavia and Rwanda,” Paper delivered at the American Political Science Association Convention, Washington, DC, September 2, 2000 (longer and more detailed version of the International Security article below) pdf

 

“The Banality of ‘Ethnic War,’” 25 International Security 42-70 (Summer 2000) pdf

 

(with Karl Mueller) “The Methodology of Mass Destruction: Assessing Threats in the New World Order,” 23 Journal of Strategic Studies 163-87 (March 2000); also published in Eric Herring (ed.), Preventing the Use of Weapons of Mass Destruction (London: Frank Cass, 2000), 163-87

 

“The Rise of the Politically Incorrect One-Handed Economist,” in John Mueller (ed.), Peace, Prosperity, and Politics (New York: Westview, 2000), 53-89 

 

“Public Opinion, War, and the Military,” The Oxford Companion to American Military History (New York: Oxford University Press, 1999), 578-79

 

“The Rise, Decline, and Shallowness of Militant Nationalism in Europe,” in Ewa Hauser and Jacek Wasilewski (eds.), Lessons in Democracy (Kraków, Poland and Rochester, NY: Jagiellonian University Press and University of Rochester Press, 1999), 73-97

 

Duelling Counterfactuals,” in John Lewis Gaddis, Philip H. Gordon, Ernest R. May, and Jonathan Rosenberg (eds.), Cold War Statesmen Confront the Bomb: Nuclear Diplomacy Since 1945 (London: Oxford University Press, 1999), 272-83 pdf (pdf does not contain the notes)

 

“The Rise, Decline, Shallowness, and Banality of Militant Nationalism in Europe: Hobbes, Thugs, ‘Ethnic Conflict,’ and the Future of Warfare.” Paper delivered at the American Political Science Association Convention, Atlanta, GA, September 2, 1999 pdf 

 

(with Karl Mueller) “Sanctions of Mass Destruction,” 78 Foreign Affairs 43-53 (May/June 1999)

 

“Democracy: Optimal Illusions and Grim Realities,” Research Monograph Series, Center for the Study of Democracy, University of California, Irvine, 1999

 

“The Escalating Irrelevance of Nuclear Weapons,” in T.V. Paul, Richard J. Harknett, and James J. Wirtz (eds.), The Absolute Weapons Revised: Nuclear Arms and the Emerging International Order (Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 1998), 73-98

 

“The Common Sense,” National Interest 81-88 (Spring 1997) 

 

“Democracy, Capitalism, and the End of Transition,” in Michael Mandelbaum (ed.), Post-Communism: Four Perspectives (New York: Council on Foreign Relations Press, 1996), 102-67

 

“Nine Propositions about the Historical Impact of Nuclear Weapons,” in Jørn Gjelstad and Olav Njølstad (eds.), Nuclear Rivalry and International Order (London and Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 1996), 55-74 

 

“Foreign Policy Principles for Unthreatened Wealth-seekers,” Foreign Policy 22-33 (Spring 1996) 

 

“Fifteen Propositions about American Foreign Policy and Public Opinion in an Era Free of Compelling Threats.” Paper given at Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, San Diego, CA, April 19, 1996  pdf

 

“Capitalism and the Milk of Human Kindness,” in Pavol Karasz, Jana Plichtová, Vladimír Krivý (eds.), Economics & Politics (Bratislava, Slovakia: Slovak Committee of the European Cultural Foundation, 1995), 88-95 

 

“Minorities and the Democratic Image,” 9 East European Politics and Societies 513-22 (Fall 1995) 

 

“Le concept de puissance et la politique internationale depuis la fin de la guerre froide,” 26 Études internationales 711-27 (Décembre 1995). Also published in Michel Fortmann, S. Neil MacFarlane, and Stéphane Roussel (eds.), Tous pour un ou chacun pour soi: Promesses et limites de las coopération régionale en matière de sécurité (Québec: Institut québécois des hautes études internationales, 1996), 71-87

 

“The Perfect Enemy: Assessing the Gulf War,” 5 Security Studies 77-117 (Autumn 1995)  pdf

 

“The Catastrophe Quota: Trouble After the Cold War,” 38 Journal of Conflict Resolution 355-75, September 1994  pdf  (also in Polish in Spoeczestwo Otwarte, Warsaw, Poland, March 1995)

 

“The Impact of Ideas on Grand Strategy,” in Richard Rosecrance and Arthur A. Stein (eds), The Domestic Bases of Grand Strategy (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1993), 48-62 

 

“American Public Opinion and the Gulf War,” in Stanley A. Renshon (ed.), The Political Psychology of the Gulf War: Leaders, Publics, and the Process of Conflict (Pittsburgh, PA: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1993), 199-226 

 

“American Public Opinion and the Gulf War: Some Polling Issues,” 57 Public Opinion Quarterly 80-91, Spring 1993  pdf

 

“Theory and Democracy” 36 American Journal of Political Science 1015-22 (November 1992) 

 

“Democracy and Ralph’s Pretty Good Grocery: Elections, Equality and the Minimal Human Being,” 36 American Journal of Political Science 983-1003 (November 1992) 

 

“Dueling, War and the Utility of Force: A Response to Akhtar Majeed,” 23 Bulletin of Peace Proposals 103-7 (March 1992) 

 

“Quiet Cataclysm: Some Afterthoughts About World War III,” 16 Diplomatic History 66-75 (Winter 1992). Also in Michael J. Hogan (ed.), The End of the Cold War: Its Meaning and Implications (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1992), 39-52 

 

“Pearl Harbor: Military Inconvenience, Political Disaster,” 16 International Security 172-203 (Winter 1991/92) pdf

 

 “Is War Still Becoming Obsolete?” Paper delivered at American Political Science Association Convention, Washington, DC, August 30, 1991 pdf

 

“Preaching to the Choir: Strike Up the Band and War,” essay in the liner notes for the 1991 recording of the Gershwin-Kaufman Strike Up the Band

 

“Eaters, Watchers, and Revolutionaries,” program note, Scottish National Opera production of Marc Blitzstein’s Regina

 

“War: Natural, but not Necessary,” in Robert A. Hinde (ed.), The Institution of War (London: Macmillan, 1991), 13-29 

 

“Changing Attitudes Towards War: The Impact of the First World War,” 21 British Journal of Political Science 1-28 (January 1991) 

 

“Deterrence, Nuclear Weapons, Morality, and War,” in Charles W. Kegley, Jr. and Kenneth L. Schwab (eds.), After the Cold War: Questioning the Morality of Nuclear Deterrence (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1991), 69-97 

 

“Korea, Vietnam and the Gulf,” The Polling Report, Vol. 7, No. 4, February 18, 1991, 1, 7-8 

 

“Taking Peace Seriously: Two Proposals,” in Robert Jervis and Seweryn Bialer (eds.), Soviet-American Relations After the Cold War (Durham, NC: Duke University Press, 1991), 262-75 

 

“The Obsolescence of Major War,” 21 Bulletin of Peace Proposals 321-28 (September 1990) 

 

“A New Concert of Europe,” Foreign Policy, No. 77, Winter 1989-90, 3-16 

 

“The Essential Irrelevance of Nuclear Weapons: Stability in the Postwar World,” 13 International Security 55-79 (Fall 1988) pdf

 

“Trends in Political Tolerance,” 52 Public Opinion Quarterly 1-25 (Spring 1988) pdf

 

“Vietnam and the Mellowing of Containment: Implications for American Foreign Policy Attitudes,” in George K. Osborn, Asa A. Clark IV, Daniel J. Kaufman, and Douglas E. Lute (eds.), Democracy, Strategy, and Vietnam: Implications for American Policymaking (Lexington, MA: Lexington, 1987), 297-310. 

 

“Containment and the Decline of the Soviet Empire: Some Tentative Comments on the End of the World As We Know It.” Paper delivered at the International Studies Association Convention, Anaheim, CA, March 28, 1986 pdf

 

“The Cold War Consensus: From Fearful Hostility to Wary Contempt,” in Richard A. Melanson and Kenneth W. Thompson (eds.), Foreign Policy and Domestic Consensus (Lanham, MD: University Press of America, 1985), 7-18 

 

“Reassessment of American Policy, 1965-1968,” in Harrison E.  Salisbury (ed.), Vietnam Reconsidered: Lessons from a War (New York: Harper & Row, 1984), 48-52 

 

“Reflections on the Vietnam Protest Movement and on the Curious Calm at the War’s End,” in Peter Braestrup (ed.), Vietnam as History (Lanham, MD: University Press of America, 1984), 151-57

 

“A Summary of Public Opinion and the Vietnam War,” in Peter Braestrup (ed.), Vietnam as History (Lanham, MD: University Press of America, 1984), 171-77 

 

“Vietnam Revised,” 9 Armed Forces and Society 167-73 (Fall 1982) 

 

“The Search for the ‘Breaking Point’ in Vietnam: The Statistics of a Deadly Quarrel,” 24 International Studies Quarterly 497-519 (December 1980) pdf (the pdf includes the article as well as comments on the article by Richard K. Betts and Frederick Z. Brown and a rejoinder by John Mueller)

 

“Public Expectations of War During the Cold War,” 23 American Journal of Political Science 301-29 (May 1979) 

 

“Changes in American Public Attitudes Toward International Involvement,” in Ellen Stern (ed.), The Limits of Military Intervention (Beverly Hills, CA: Sage, 1977), 323-44 

 

“A Project Autobiography: War, Presidents, and Public Opinion,” in James N. Rosenau (ed.), In Search of Global Patterns (New York: Free Press, 1976), 111-43 

 

“Public Opinion and the President,” in Rexford G. Tugwell and Thomas E. Cronin (eds.), The Presidency Reappraised (New York: Praeger, 1974), 133-47 

 

“Conclusions from the Public Opinion Polls: Comparisons with Korea,” New Republic, February 3, 1973, 22-24 

 

“Trends in Popular Support for the Wars in Korea and Vietnam” 65 American Political Science Review 358-76 (June 1971) 

 

“Choosing Among 133 Candidates,” 34 Public Opinion Quarterly 395-402 (Fall 1970)  pdf

 

“The Political Scientist Decides: An Examination of the 1969 APSA Ballots,” PS, Summer 1970, 311-20 

 

“Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson,” 64 American Political Science Review 18-34 (March 1970) 

 

“Voting on the Propositions,” 63 American Political Science Review 1197-1212 (December 1969) 

 

“The Use of Content Analysis in International Relations,” in George Gerbner (ed.), The Analysis of Communication Content (New York: Wiley, 1969), 187-97 

 

“Fluoridation Attitude Change,” 58 American Journal of Public Health 1876-82 (October 1968); reprinted in 28 The Health Education Journal (UK) 29-36 (March 1969) 

 

“Incentives for Restraint: Canada as a Non-Nuclear Power,” 11 Orbis 864-84 (Fall 1967)  pdf

 

“Some Comments on Russett’s `Discovering Voting Groups in the United Nations,’” 61 American Political Science Review 146-48 (March 1967) 

 

(with R.N. Rosecrance) “Decision-Making and the Quantitative Analysis of International Relations,” Year Book of World Affairs 1967 (London: Stevens, 1967), 1-19 

 

Il Fluoro della Discordia,” Mercurio (Rome, December 1966) 34-38 

 

“The Politics of Fluoridation in Seven California Cities,” 19 Western Political Quarterly 54-67 (March 1966) 

 

“Suggestions for the Use of Simple Experimental Methods in Political Research,” 18 Western Political Quarterly 42-43 (September 1965, Supplement) 

 

 

SHORTER ARTICLES AND OPINION PIECES

 

EDITORIAL PAGE COLUMNS IN THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

“Salvador, Vietnam and Other Ventures,” February 14, 1984
“Vietnam Involvement Was a Failure, Not a Folly,” April 10, 1984
“Steering a Path Between Risks and Benefits to Life,” August 13, 1984
“Lessons Learned Five Years After the Hostage Nightmare,” November 6, 1984
“Crime Is Caused by the Young and Reckless,” March 6, 1985 pdf
“The Bomb’s Pretense as Peacemaker,” June 4, 1985
“Backward Goes the Doomsday Clock,” June 3, 1986
“Presidents and Terrorists Should Not Mix,” March 31, 1987
“Arms Reduction: Don’t Talk, Just Do It,” June 1, 1988
“New, Improved Opiates for the Masses!” May 23, 1989

 

EDITORIAL PAGE COLUMNS IN THE LOS ANGELES TIMES

“Dropping Out of the War System,” September 12, 1988

“In Europe, Time to Give Peace a Chance, Combining NATO and the Warsaw Pact,” April 9, 1989
“Why Build New California Universities When Eastern Classrooms Go Begging?” July 16, 1989

“Democracy: All They Need to Do Is Catch the Bug,” November 19, 1989

“Summit: A New Order May Not Need Much Order,” November 28, 1989

“Perspective on `The Vision Thing’: Stay the Benign, Unruffled Course,” May 14, 1990

“The Real Infamy Was an Unnecessary War,” December 6, 1991

“If Killing Is Down, Are Guns Out? Are Dads In?” September 9, 1992

“Depressed by Politics? Some Words of Cheer,” October 31, 1996 

“2,000 dead‑‑will it doom the war?” October 26, 2005. Also published under the title, “Why this unpopular war has no tipping point,” in Christian Science Monitor, November 1, 2005

“Dead and Deader,” January 20, 2008 

 

EDITORIAL PAGE COLUMNS IN THE NEW YORK TIMES

“Will America Stand a Stalemate in Iraq?” August 27, 1990
“A Quick Victory? It Better Be,” January 19, 1991

 

EDITORIAL PAGE COLUMNS IN THE WASHINGTON POST

“False Alarms,” Sunday, September 29, 2002, B7  pdf
“Cameras and Credibility,” February 4, 2003, A25

 

ARTICLES IN THE NEW REPUBLIC

“Conclusions from the Public Opinion Polls: Comparisons with Korea,” February 3, 1973, 22-24
“Enough Rope: The Cold War Was Lost, Not Won,” July 3, 1989, 14-16
“Well Off: Good riddance, McCain-Feingold,” November 15, 1999, 21-22 

 

ARTICLES IN REASON

“St. Phineas: How P.T. Barnum helped create business ethics,” March 2001, 54-57 html

“What’s the Rush?” “Suicide Watch,” and “Deterring the Egomaniac Dictator,” three essays as part of an online debate with Brink Lindsey on reason.com, “Should We Invade Iraq?” posted in October 2002 and published in the magazine, January 2003, 43-48  html

 

ARTICLE IN THE AMERICAN ENTERPRISE

“Democracy vs. Capitalism,” March 2002, 44-45

 

EDITORIAL PAGE COLUMN IN THE ATLANTA JOURNAL/ATLANTA CONSTITUTION

“The Lonely Commander: President is threatening a war Americans don’t want to fight,” November 18, 1990

 

ARTICLES IN IDEAS OR CURRENTS SECTION OF THE SUNDAY NEW YORK NEWSDAY

“Peace Has Broken Out,” March 26, 1989
“Enemies? No, Allies!” December 3, 1989
“Key to European Security Is Still the U.S.” October 6, 1991
“On Iraq, Dems do best to keep it vague,” July 25, 2006

 

ARTICLES POSTED ON THE HISTORY NEWS NETWORK

The Politics of Cutting and Running, May 24, 2004

Anti-War? Unenthusiastic About Kerry? The Recipe for a Bush Victory, May 3, 2004

 

ARTICLES IN PERSPECTIVE SECTION OF THE SUNDAY ARIZONA REPUBLIC

“The Art of a Deal: No Rewards for Iraqi Aggression,” December 16, 1990
“Thoughts on a Quiet Cataclysm: Are we beyond global conflict?” September 1, 1991

 

EDITORIAL PAGE COLUMN IN THE PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER

“Vietnam protests didn’t end the war,” February 20, 1991 

 

EDITORIAL PAGE COLUMN IN THE COLUMBUS DISPATCH

Ohio’s homeland‑security costs hard to justify,” August 27, 2005, A10

 

EDITORIAL PAGE COLUMN IN AFTENPOSTEN (OSLO, NORWAY)

(with Karl Mueller), “Nei til masseødeleggelsessankjoner,” March 12, 2001, 12

 

FEATURE ARTICLES IN MOSTY (BRATISLAVA, SLOVAKIA)

Pokojná kataklizma: Tretiu svetovú u máme za sebou,” November 21, 1995
Pokojná kataklizma: Honba za problémami,” November 28, 1995
Pokojná kataklizma: Vojna: prirodzená, ale nie nevyhnutná,” December 5, 1995
Pokojná kataklizma: Nemoderná inštitúcia--vojna,” December 12, 1995
Pokojná kataklizma: Predpovedané katastrofy,” December 27, 1995 

 

EDITORIAL PAGE COLUMNS ALSO IN DALLAS MORNING NEWS,  ROCHESTER DEMOCRAT AND CHRONICLE, ROCKY MOUNTAIN NEWS, ROCHESTER TIMES-UNION,  PEORIA JOURNAL STAR, COLUMBUS DISPATCH, CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR,  KENTUCKY ENQUIRER, CINCINNATI ENQUIRER,  MILWAUKEE JOURNAL, ORLANDO SENTINAL, OTTAWA CITIZEN, OMAHA WORLD-HERALD,  MONTREAL GAZETTE,  EL PAIS (MADRID)

 


GRANTS, FELLOWSHIPS, HONORS IN POLITICAL SCIENCE

 

The Remnants of War received the Joseph Lepgold Prize for the best book on international relations in 2004, awarded by Georgetown University

 

Guggenheim Fellowship: Deterrence, Stability and the Potential Obsolescence of Major War, 1988

 

War, Presidents and Public Opinion selected as one of the “Fifty Books That Significantly Shaped Public Opinion Research, 1946-1995” by the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Public Opinion Quarterly, Fall 1995.  Recipient of the first Warren J. Mitofsky Award for Excellence in Public Opinion Research presented by the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research, November 8, 2007

 

Edward Peck Curtis Award for Excellence in Undergraduate Teaching, University of Rochester, 1997 

 

Honorary Member, Golden Key National Honor Society (1995) 

 

Teacher of the Year, University of Rochester, Interfraternity Council, 1995

 

National Science Foundation: Public Opinion in Wartime, 1967-68 

 

National Science Foundation: Public Opinion in Wartime, 1968-70 

 

National Science Foundation: Public Expectations About War, 1974-75 

 

Listed in Who’s Who in the World, Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in the East, Contemporary Authors, Who’s Who in 2Oth Century America, Who’s Who in the Midwest

 

Member, American Academy of Arts and Sciences (elected May 1990)

 

Distinguished Scholar Award, Ohio State University, 2010

 

Susan Strange Award, International Studies Association, that “recognizes a person whose singular intellect, assertiveness, and insight most challenge conventional wisdom and intellectual and organizational complacency in the international studies community,” 2009

 

Selected for “The Playboy Honor Roll: Meet 20 Professors who are reinventing the classroom,” by Ling Ma, Tim McCormick, and Josh Schollmeyer, Playboy, October 2010 article in pdf

 

OTHER RELATED ACTIVITIES IN POLITICAL SCIENCE

 

Member, Board of Overseers, General Social Survey, National Opinion Research Center 

 

Contributor, Funk and Wagnalls New Encyclopedia

 

Book reviews in New York Times Sunday Book Review, American Political Science Review, Journal of Politics, Armed Forces and Society, Political Science Quarterly, Rochester Democrat and Chronicle, Los Angeles Times, Public Opinion Quarterly

 

Adviser, “Vietnam: A Television History,” WGBH, Boston, 1983 

 

Official Representative, Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research, 1979-84 

 

Co-Editor, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 1985-89

 

Editorial Board, Public Opinion Quarterly, 1988-1991 

 

Editorial Board, Journal of Cold War Studies, 1999-

 

Editorial Board, Critical Studies on Terrorism, 2008-  

 

Chairman, Department of Political Science, University of Rochester, 1989-91

 

Participant, NATO Discussion Series, Atlantic Council,  Brussels, Maastricht, and Geilenkirchen, June 21-26, 1992 

 

Member, Advisory Committee, Center for Polish and Central European Studies,  University of Rochester, 1994-2000

 

Director, Watson Center for the Study of International Peace and Cooperation, University of Rochester, 1993-1999 

 

Editorial Board, Ohio State University Press, 2001-04 

 

PAPERS, LECTURES, SEMINARS IN POLITICAL SCIENCE SINCE 1986   (pdf)

 

 

AWARDS, HONORS IN DANCE AND FILM

 

de la Torre Bueno Prize, presented by Dance Perspectives Foundation, to Astaire Dancing: The Musical Films for “the most distinguished book-length manuscript in the field of dance,” 1983

 

Distinguished Scholar Award, Ohio State University, 2010

 

Listed in Who’s Who in the World, Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in the East, Contemporary Authors, Who’s Who in 20th Century America, Who’s Who in the Midwest

 


DVDS PRODUCED

(Distributed by Dance Film Archive, Ohio State University)

 

Fire Dance. 2004. Features the famous Loïe Fuller solo from 1896 as reconstructed and performed by Jessica Lindberg.  The DVD includes a studio performance of the work, a studio performance with audio commentary by Jessica Lindberg and Megan Slayter, a studio performance edited from several camera angles by Shawn Hove, a studio performance accompanied by the notated score, a live performance recorded from two camera angles which the viewer can toggle between using the angle button, a documentary on “Loïe Fuller: Her Life and Art,” a documentary on “Reconstructing Loïe Fuller’s Fire Dance,” and archival films from 1897-1905 of Loïe Fuller and her imitators. DVD authoring by Shawn Hove.

 

Gaîté Parisienne.  2006. Features Victor Jessen’s film, taken between 1945 and 1955, of performances of the famous Leonide Massine ballet by the Ballet Russe de Monte Carlo. Also audio commentary by one of the leading dancers of the era, Frederic Franklin, a documentary on the ballet, a documentary on Jessen, and an interview with Franklin. DVD authoring by Shawn Hove. The DVD is distributed commercially by Video Artists International as well as by OSU’s Dance Film Archive.

 

Symphonie Fantastique. 2008. Features a work film, with synchronized piano music of the Leonide Massine ballet in a 1949 performance by the Royal Danish Ballet. Includes explanatory titles. DVD authoring by Shawn Hove. The DVD is distributed commercially by Video Artists International as well as by OSU’s Dance Film Archive. Extensive notes on the film can be found on VAI’s website.

 

 

FILMS PRODUCED AND DIRECTED
(Distributed by Dance Film Archive, Ohio State University)

 

Afternoon of a Faun. 11 min., 1973 (still photographs and drawings of the original Nijinsky ballet synchronized with music score) 

 

Dying Swan. 3 min., 1973 (still photographs synchronized with music score to show the original choreography by Fokine) 

 

Light Part 5. 20 min., 1976 (filming of the Kei Takei dance work as performed by Takei and company) 

 

Royal Danish Ballet 1902-1906. 14 min., 1979 (processing of historic silent film and addition of synchronized music) 

 

The Traitor. 19 min., 1979 (processing of historic silent film from 1955 showing a performance of the Jose Limon work as danced by the original cast, and synchronization of the music score) 

 

Two Ecstatic Themes: Two Performances. 13 min., 1980 (filming of the classic Doris Humphrey solo as performed by Nina Watt and Carla Maxwell of the Jose Limon Dance Company) 

 

Symphonie Fantastique. 51 min., 1980 (processing of a historic silent film of the Leonide Massine ballet, and addition of synchronized music) 

 

St. Francis (Nobilissima Visione). 39 min., 1982 (processing of a historic silent film of the Leonide Massine ballet as danced by the original cast, and addition of synchronized music) 

 

Seventh Symphony. 32 min., 1982 (processing of a historic silent film of the Leonide Massine ballet as danced by the original cast, and addition of synchronized music) 

 

Water Study. 22 min., 1982 (filming of the classic Doris Humphrey group work as performed by dancers under the direction of Ernestine Stodelle

 

Bonnie Bird Demonstrates Graham Technique, 1938-39. 11 min., 1986 (processing of historic silent film) 

 

Gaite Parisienne. 38 min., 1986 (processing of historic film) (distributed 1988 in videocassette by Video Arts International, New York)

 

 

SCRIPTS FOR MUSICAL COMEDIES

 

A Foggy Day. A musical comedy created by incorporating songs by George and Ira Gershwin into a play by G. Wodehouse and Ian Hay. 1984.  information

Produced (under the title “Reaching for the Moon”) by Eastman Opera Theatre, Eastman School of Music, Rochester, NY, October 30-November 3, 1987 (7 performances).

Produced (co-written by Norm Foster) by the Shaw Festival, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario, Canada, May 5-November 1, 1998 (126 performances).

Produced (co-written by Norm Foster) by the Shaw Festival, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario, Canada, April 29-November 14, 1999 (135 performances). 

 

One for My Baby. An expansion and development for the stage of a film script (The Sky’s the Limit) adding songs mostly with lyrics by Johnny Mercer. 1985. Professional reading, Geva Theatre, Rochester, NY, June 7, 1999. information

 

 

PUBLICATIONS IN DANCE, FILM, AND MUSICAL THEATER: ARTICLES

 

“Dance on Film” in Mary Clark and David Vaughan (eds.), The Encyclopedia of Dance and Ballet (New York: Putnam, 1977) 

 

“The Value, Use, and Availability of Dance Films,” in Selma Landen Odom (ed.), Dance and Film (Toronto: Art Gallery of Ontario, 1977) 

 

“Filmed Dance and Dance Films,” Ballett 1978 (Frankfurt), 24-27 

 

“The Oldest Ballet Movie,” Dance Magazine, July 1979, 40-43 

 

“Film and Videotape as Teaching Tools,” Dance Critics’ Association News, December 1979 

 

“Is Giselle a Virgin?” Dance Chronicle Vol. 4, No. 2 (1981), 151-54 

 

“The Filmed Dances of Fred Astaire,” Quarterly Review of Film Studies, Vol. 6 (Spring 1981), 135-54; reprinted as

 

“Fred Astaire. Verfilming van zijn dansnummers,” Versus (Nijmegen, Netherlands), March 1983, 9-20 

 

“Images de Nijinski,” L’Avant-Scene Ballet/Danse (Paris), no. 7, 1981 

 

“Limon’s Tormented Traitor,” Dance Magazine, May 1981, sc-26-30 

 

“Watching an American Screen Original,” Dance Magazine, May 1984, 131-35 

 

“Fred Astaire and the Integrated Musical,” Cinema Journal, Fall 1984, 28-40 

 

Analytic lecture on the second sound track of The Criterion Collection laserdisc edition of the film, Swing Time (New York and Los Angeles: Janus Films and Voyager Press, 1986) 

 

(with Don McDonagh), “Making Musical Dance,” Ballet Review, Vol. 13, No. 4 (Winter 1986), 23-44 

 

“Fred Astaire,” Encyclopedia of World Biography (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1987), 73-74 

 

“The Astaire Illusion,” Dance Magazine, November 1987, 34-35 

 

“The White Swan Adagio, “ in Janice Ross and Stephen Cobbett Steinberg (eds.), Why a Swan? (San Francisco: San Francisco Performing Arts Library and Museum, March 1989), 25-29 

 

“Eaters, Watchers, and Revolutionaries,” program note, Scottish National Opera production of Marc Blitzstein’s Regina 

 

“Preaching to the Choir: Strike Up the Band and War,” essay in the liner notes for the 1991 recording of the Gershwin-Kaufman Strike Up the Band   html

 

“The Gershwins and the Astaires,” essay in the liner notes for the 1992 recording of the GershwinsLady, Be Good!

 

“Fred Astaire” in International Encyclopedia of Dance (New York: Oxford University Press, 1998) 

 

“The Gershwin-Wodehouse Connection,” essay in programme for A Foggy Day, Shaw Festival, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario, 1998 

 

“Fred Astaire,” American National Biography (New York: Oxford University Press, 1999), 693-95 

 

“Ginger Rogers,” American National Biography (New York: Oxford University Press, 1999), 756-57 

 

Full‑length commentary track for the Fred Astaire‑Ginger Rogers film, Swing Time, released on DVD by Warner Home Video, autumn 2005. Also interviewed for short documentaries later distributed on the Warner Home Video DVDs of Top Hat, Follow the Fleet, Swing Time, Shall We Dance, and The Barkleys of Broadway.


Interviewed for the documentary, Astaire and Rogers: Partners in Rhythm, by Sparkhill Productions for the Warner Home Video “Astaire and Rogers: The Complete Film Collection,” an 11 DVD set released in 2006.

 

 

COLUMNS IN DANCE MAGAZINE

The ephemeral Giselle (Sept. 1974)
Ruth St. Denis (Oct. 1974)
Assembling a dance film series (Nov. 1974)
Catalogs, Bournonville, Camera Three, queries (Dec. 1974)
Eight by Graham (Jan. 1975)
Revivals of four modern dance classics (Feb. 1975)
The projector (Mar. 1975)
The inaccessible New York City Ballet (Apr. 1975)
Six myths about dance films (May 1975)
Norman McLaren and Murray Louis (June 1975)
Merce Cunningham on Camera Three and Elsewhere (July 1975)
Ailey, Feld, Mitchell, Tetley, Van Dantzig (Aug. 1975)
Rudolf Nureyev (Oct. 1975)
Sources of free, or nearly free, dance films (Nov. 1975)
A Kirov Sleeping Beauty (Dec. 1975)
In search of Anna Pavlova (Jan. 1976)
A glimpse of Mary Wigman (Mar. 1976)
Reviews and follow-up reports (Apr. 1976)
School of American Ballet, Free films in NY, Cheap projectors (May 1976)
The 1969 Moscow Ballet Competition (June 1976)
Cynthia Gregory, Antony Tudor and ABT (July 1976)
Some cautionary comments about videotape (Aug. 1976)
Violette Verdy's Ballerina (Oct. 1976)
The new and the available (Dec. 1976)
Dance in the earliest motion pictures (Feb. 1977)
Kei Takei and other matters (Mar. 1977)
Harald Kreutzberg's dances of death (Apr. 1977)
Merce Cunningham's Walkaround Time (June 1977)
Relache and Entr'acte (July 1977)
Ballet History by Ballet for All (Aug. 1977)
Twyla Tharp and the wide-angle lens (Sept. 1977)
Martha Graham then and now (Dec. 1977)
The close-up, the dissolve and Martha Graham (Jan. 1978)
Margot Fonteyn, The Place (Feb. 1978)
Choreographing for camera (Apr. 1978)
Alonso in Cinemascope (June 1978)
Paul Taylor's Junction (Aug. 1978)
Classics and demonstrations (Sept. 1978)
Baroque dance (Nov. 1978)
Alicia Alonso's Giselle (Dec. 1978)
Two catalogs (Jan. 1979)
Masterpieces by Doris Humphrey and Aaron Copland (Feb. 1979)
Yvonne Rainer's Trio A (Mar. 1979)
Fred Astaire's Dancing in the Dark (May 1979)
Nureyev's Don Quixote in sections (June 1979)
Home video recorders (Aug. 1979)
A documentary and two duets (Oct. 1979)
Meredith Monk's Quarry (Nov. 1979)
Setting music to a silent film of Limon's The Traitor (Dec. 1979)
The return of "Royal Ballet" (Mar. 1980)
Classic tap (June 1980)
Karen Kain: Ballerina (Aug. 1980)
Dance in America films (Mar. 1981)
Carolyn Brown's Dune Dance (Sept. 1981)
Margot Fonteyn's The Magic of Dance (Jan. and Feb. 1982)

 

GRANTS FROM THE NATIONAL ENDOWMENT FOR THE HUMANITIES

 

“Development of Teaching Materials for Media-Based Dance Appreciation Courses” 1972-73
“Increasing the Availability of Dance Films” 1974-75
“Increasing the Availability of Dance Films” 1977-78
“Processing and Distributing Massine Ballet Films” 1979-81

 

 

OTHER RELATED ACTIVITIES IN DANCE AND FILM

 

Director, Dance Film Archive, University of Rochester, 1983-2000, Ohio State University, 2000- 

 

Faculty member at Dance Critics Institutes at American Dance Festival, Connecticut College and Duke University (1977-1980); University of Texas; London Dance Umbrella (1981); University of Iowa (1984); Dance in Canada Conference, Vancouver (1986) 

 

Dance critic, Rochester Democrat and Chronicle, 1974-82 

 

Member, Dance Panel, New York State Arts Council, 1976-78 

 

Member, Advisory Board, Dance in America (PBS), 1975 

 

Participant, Film and Humanities Summer Institute, American Film Institute (Beverly Hills,  CA), 1979 

 

Co-organizer and chief adviser, Early Years Dance Festival, SUNY Purchase, 1981 

 

Member of the Board, Dance Critics Association, 1983-85 

Member, Dance Panel, National Endowment for the Arts, 1983-85 

 

Editorial Board, Ohio State University Press, 2001-04 

 

Supervision and transferring of the OSU Dance Film Archive film to videocassette from the “Seventh Symphony,” which was used by the Cincinnati Ballet to mount one movement from the work (for the first time in over 50 years) for their Ballet Russe de Monte Carlo season, October 18-19, 2002.  The Cincinnati Ballet then mounted the entire work from the film, performing it October 8-9, 2004.

 

Keynote speaker, Fred Astaire: The Conference, Oriel College, Oxford University, June 2008


LECTURES/FILM SHOWINGS ON FRED ASTAIRE

 

 

BOOK REVIEWS

 

“Threats Everywhere,” review of Kip Hawley and Nathan Means, Permanent Emergency: Inside the TSA and the Fight for the Future of American Security. Regulation, Winter 2012-2013, 48-49  html

 

David K. Shipler, The Rights of the People: How Our Search of Safety Invades Our Liberties. Wilson Quarterly, Spring 2011, 97-98 pdf

 

Richard Rhodes, The Twilight of the Bombs: Recent Challenges, New Dangers, and the Prospects for a World Without Nuclear Weapons. Physics World, February 2011, 38-39 pdf

 

William Langewiesche, The Atomic Bazaar: The Rise of the Nuclear Poor. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 2007, 55-56 pdf

 

Andrew J. Bacevich and Efraim Inbar (eds.), The Gulf War of 1991 Reconsidered. Journal of Cold War Studies, Winter 2005, 191-93

 

Mark E. Pietrzyk, International Order and Individual Liberty: Effects of War and Peace on the Development of Governments. The Independent Review, Fall 2003, 310-12 

 

Yahya Sadowski, The Myth of Global Chaos. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, September 2000, 206-7 

 

Christopher, Coker, War and the Illiberal Conscience. International History Review, December 1999, 1123-25 

 

Charles Hamm, Irving Berlin: Songs from the Melting Pot: The Formative Years, 1907-1919. New York Times Sunday Book Review, April 27, 1997, 23. 

 

William H. McNeill, Keeping Together in Time: Dance and Drill in Human History. New York Times Sunday Book Review, October 22, 1995, 22. 

 

Richard Barrios, A Song in the Dark: The Birth of the Musical Film. New York Times Sunday Book Review, June 24, 1995, 24. 

 

Stephen Citron, Noel and Cole: The Sophisticates. New York Times Sunday Book Review, June 6, 1993, 24. 

 

Michael Howard, The Lessons of History. American Political Science Review, September 1992, 842-43. 

 

Ginger Rogers, Ginger: My Story. New York Times Sunday Book Review, October 20, 1991, 14-15. 

 

Ellen Frey-Wouters and Robert S. Laufer, Legacy of a War: The American Soldier in Vietnam. Public Opinion Quarterly, Spring 1988, 154-56. 

 

Allan E. Goodman, The Lost Peace: America’s Search for a Negotiated Settlement of the Vietnam War. Political Science Quarterly, Fall 1979, 541-42. 

 

Herbert Y. Schandler, The Unmaking of the President: Lyndon Johnson and Vietnam. American Political Science Review, December 1978, 1434-36 

 

Klaus Knorr, On the Uses of Military Power in the Nuclear Age; Bernard Brodie, Escalation and the Nuclear Option. American Political Science Review, December 1967, 1109-10

 

 

ENCYCLOPEDIA ARTICLES

 

“WAR: Aversion to war” (vol. 4, 327-330) and “Violent conflict and overreaction” (vol. 4, 320-321) The Oxford International Encyclopedia of Peace, (Oxford University Press, 2010)

“The War on Terror,” Encyclopedia of Libertarianism (Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications, 2008)
 

“Public Opinion and Policy in Wartime,” Encyclopedia of War & American Society (Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications, 2005)


“Should Campaign Financing Be Reformed? Campaign Finance Reform Is Not Necessary” (Point/Counterpoint sidebar), Encarta, posted 2000


“Public Opinion,” Funk & Wagnalls New Encyclopedia, 1983